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Wednesday, October 6, 2021

CS875 - Futuring and Innovation

 CS875 - Futuring and Innovation

This post will discuss Futuring and Innovation (CS875), associated future innovations, and a little bit about myself included my profile.  

CS875 from Colorado Technical University (CTU) talks about futurists and innovative technological ideas, skill development in Futuring using different techniques, formal methods, and diffusion of innovative ideas.

CS875 - Unit 2 Discussion Board 2 (summary) - Delphi Techniques method

 CS875 - Unit 2 Discussion Board 2 (summary)

Delphi Techniques method 

The Delphi method fosters an environment where experts can work towards a mutual agreement using the combined questionnaires and delivering each successive round to members. It is important to know that expert responses might shift new rounds are achieved, consensus may be reached over time as different opinions are swayed from other experts, each expert learning from other experts participating in the analysis; this is achieved without physically bringing everyone together to reach these decisions; making the Delphi method very effective (Twin, 2021). There are different types of methods in use, Delphi Technique and Nominal Group Technique (NGT); I will discuss the Delphi method in detail.

Advantages of the Delphi Technique Method?

The Delphi technique method seeks to compile different opinions from different experts; this view is achieved without bringing everybody together in one physical location. It is important to understand that responses from participants will remain anonymous; an expert does not have to worry about receiving any repercussion from their diverse opinions. A consensus view is expected over time, as expert opinion may be swayed or controlled, making this method very effective.

Disadvantages of the Delphi Method?

The Delphi technique is quite different from live interactions and results may be different. Sometimes, a live discussion-making process may produce a better consensus view and result, as perceptions and ideas may be introduced, and reassessed on the fly. Delphi method response can take a longer time to hash out, which may slow down the rate of the decision-making process; information received from the experts may be less valuable.

Understanding Key Takeaways of Delphi Technique method

  • The Delphi decision method is a group-based decision-making process achieved by sending a survey to a group of experts to evaluate
  • Experts respond to a number of questionnaires provided by the group facilitator, and the responses are collected/shared with the expert group after each round.
  • The experts are allowed to adjust their answers after each round of questionnaires, based on their interpretation of "group responses"
  • The final result will be a good consensus of group thoughts
  • The Delphi method is a known process for compiling a group decision using a survey for a group of experts
  • Experts know they are required to participate in several rounds of questionnaires, and their responses are shared with other experts
  • The experts are encouraged to continue to adjust their answers as they see fit, after each round of questionnaires, based on their interpretation of the "group responses" provided to them.
  • The ultimate result will represent a true consensus view of the group decisions.

 

Thursday, September 30, 2021

Unit 1 Discussion Board 3 - TED Talk about developing self-confidence

 CS875 - Futuring and Innovation: TED Talk about developing self-confidence

What is confidence? You must believe that you are valuable and act courageously to face the situation you find yourself in. Several factors affect confidence! What factors you were born with; such as genes that will affect neurochemical balance in your brain cells, treatment like social pressures of your surrounding environment or your surroundings; and more importantly, here is the one choice you have complete control; choices you make, including how you handle risks, and how you respond to different challenges and eminent setbacks. The choices you make will play a significant role in developing your confidence, so keep in mind these few tips and recommendations – 

1.       A quick fix, there are quick fixes that boost your confidence in a short period of time, picture yourself in a quick success when you are at the beginning of a significant and difficult task; you could listen to music that has a deep base and encouraging, this can boost a sense of power in you or you can give yourself some pep talk of encouragement

2.       Believe in your strength and in yourself, and the ability to build improvements in what you already know; if you are looking for a change or if you are performing a long term task, this is something you can work on consistently and improve on it, acquired skills are something you can work on; they were not fixed at birth. Take a basketball scenario, practice will improve your skill and possibly bring you to near perfection, if you have a growth mindset; opportunity gives you something you can learn and grow; it will develop some connections in your brain to be stronger and grow over a short period. For example, people who have a growth mindset to prosper, have better grades, and develop a continuous growth attitude.

3.       Consider failure as an option, practice and be prepared to fail and face your failure(s), you will fail sometimes, everyone does in whatever they do; therefore, failure should not erode your confidence. Did you know that J. K. Rowling was rejected by 12 different publishing companies before her book was finally picked up by one publisher for Harry Potter, the Wright brothers had numerous failures before success came along. Several studies show those who failed several times or regularly and endure and keep trying without giving up, are more equipped to acknowledge arduous challenges and difficulties more constructively. They use the experience to learn how to respond to different and difficult challenges, they are not afraid to ask people for advice and more importantly, they persevere.

Therefore, think of some challenges you plan to embark on, you must realize that the journey will not be easy, expect some mistakes along the way, please be kind to yourself when mistakes come your way, the excitement you will have when you have success is amazing; therefore, offer yourself some inspirational talk, standup, and “GO for it”! The exhilaration that awaits you at the end, understanding that you now have greater proficiency and wisdom, will boost your credence for a long time; and taking challenges becomes an easier task!

Two forces that impact innovation from the video

Based on the video presentation, two forces that will boost innovation is self-confidence, and the ability to practice and improve your skillset to near perfection. With a growth mindset, any new opportunity gives you additional skills you can capture, learn and grow in the new opportunity presented; and the connections with the new still in your brain will make you stronger and the acquired growth over a short period will surprise you as an innovator. We all have heard of the expression “practice makes perfect”, this video epidermises the expression.

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